Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1270.411021 1439.645358 1626.273678 1847.896305 2104.597973 2393.400437 2744.074669
2025-11-09 1016.815722 1243.996832 1517.402882 1873.029411 2326.793776 2890.959436 3652.582476
2025-11-16 874.664657 1125.659585 1445.857321 1888.962107 2493.574659 3300.357152 4476.354373
2025-11-23 777.064555 1041.294423 1394.545708 1908.709638 2650.295294 3700.357804 5334.664457
2025-11-30 707.461058 981.362152 1362.604341 1942.444586 2820.640473 4131.789701 6297.392586
2025-12-07 627.913452 896.203890 1282.325056 1891.602895 2853.337151 4355.802750 6968.697561
2025-12-14 562.193043 822.840689 1209.236003 1839.339392 2871.740420 4552.616880 7618.128236
2025-12-21 504.864238 755.616178 1137.281450 1778.335790 2864.753914 4701.609448 8202.056562
2025-12-28 482.703808 739.770790 1142.203846 1839.922347 3066.378465 5227.246207 9549.895387
2026-01-04 456.215099 714.175078 1128.346132 1867.350272 3210.464972 5668.487617 10813.117913
2026-01-11 430.580281 687.376162 1109.443601 1882.985514 3333.635843 6085.712217 12100.755908
2026-01-18 407.126874 661.971043 1090.150170 1895.037707 3450.227198 6504.361871 13466.151980
2026-01-25 391.201860 648.669180 1091.580814 1947.243255 3655.063857 7138.346090 15456.682195
2026-02-01 372.435299 628.891633 1079.864400 1973.723823 3813.289940 7703.013965 17417.748147
2026-02-08 354.124884 608.233921 1064.383840 1990.645944 3953.210366 8248.822006 19453.038930
2026-02-15 338.023562 590.154938 1051.841266 2011.609882 4103.809000 8841.469060 21743.565028
2026-02-22 325.131496 576.878030 1047.012059 2047.427752 4291.195069 9549.322430 24512.885572
2026-03-01 302.804929 544.083023 1001.665345 1993.448956 4268.599962 9748.200356 25904.745437
2026-03-08 282.293458 513.273928 957.730863 1937.973284 4235.383677 9915.329494 27245.047168
2026-03-15 262.528472 482.554191 911.619192 1873.236991 4172.265958 9996.702964 28347.831397
2026-03-22 257.534496 480.525545 923.470153 1938.591996 4433.888550 10976.332846 32551.855200
2026-03-29 249.254837 471.288239 919.610009 1967.704127 4609.058778 11752.714674 36313.288778
2026-04-05 240.354898 460.140752 910.795916 1984.301050 4754.384060 12471.469196 40091.201479